FORMLAB Race Report — Windsor 20:20

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Windsor · 20:20

Class 6 · 10f · Good to Firm

GENERATED 2026-07-20 · 11 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.8%176 races · latest settled day: #1 2/7, top-3 6/7forensic read: #1 29.1% · top-3 61.2% (103)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here spend about 48% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, FAST STEPS (IRE) leads on 69, 2pts clear of SUPER HIT (FR) — a yard in form. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is GUINNESS LAD (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market agrees — it makes FAST STEPS (IRE) the 25% favourite.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 2

FAST STEPS (IRE)

OR 63 · Oisin Murphy / Rod Millman

MARKET 3.9 · the market rates it a 25% chance

69.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−13lb below his last winning mark (63 today vs 76)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (69.0)

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

SUPER HIT (FR)

OR 64 · Rossa Ryan / James Owen

MARKET 4.6 · the market rates it a 21% chance

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (67.0)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 11

DANEHILL STAR (IRE)

OR 61 · Billy Loughnane / Tony Carroll

MARKET 13.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance

66.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (66.0)Proven over the trip (19 tries, beats market expectation at 2.12)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 19 runs

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1DANEHILL STAR (IRE)net +8race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup

2FAST STEPS (IRE)net +7figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot

3SUPER HIT (FR)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK

Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. DANEHILL STAR (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge FAST STEPS (IRE) lacks: the quickest away of the early types.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Worth A Second Look

These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.

NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) FIGURE #11

drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

Where the pace is drawn · 11 runners · stalls 1–11

1234567891011

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 9.0 of 11, field average 6.0).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: FAST STEPS (IRE) is 1/6 on softer ground · SUPER HIT (FR) is 0/2 on softer ground · DANEHILL STAR (IRE) is 0/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

GREY FOX (IRE) HELD-UP 49.0% 102.7 solid late gains (6th of 11 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) PROMINENT 49.3% 101.0 just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — and holds on late

SUPER HIT (FR) MID 48.7% 103.5 a genuine turn of foot — 5th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

THISCOULDBEFUN (IRE) MID 50.0% 98.9 one-paced late — 9th of 11 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

FAST STEPS (IRE) MID 49.1% 104.0 a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

SALIKO MID 49.1% 101.4 solid late gains (7th of 11 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

DANEHILL STAR (IRE) PROMINENT 49.5% 104.7 the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls

SANSANETTI (IRE) MID 49.2% 103.5 a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

PAY ATTENTION HELD-UP 51.4% 97.9 held up without the late gear (11th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

GUINNESS LAD (IRE) HELD-UP 48.5% 112.6 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

MY O MY (FR) MID 50.3% 98.5 held up without the late gear (10th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

DANEHILL STAR (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~2.4 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest

NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best

nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 FAST STEPS (IRE) MID

DRAW 2 · OR 63 · Oisin Murphy / Rod Millman

MARKET 3.9 · the market rates it a 25% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−

69.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, 2pts clear of the next, a yard in form; a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

69.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 86

Official mark (OR)

63 · last won off 76

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 26 tries · below market expectation (0.57)

Days since last run

27

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 1.5s · best on the clock in its race
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.95% (strong late)

Headgear

Cheekpieces

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 693rdClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 663rdClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 687thClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 474thClass 4 · 9.9f · rated 64

Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Rod Millman · 777 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.996/2425.0%1.79

In Class 6-7 company ✦19/13813.8%1.049/7312.3%1.17

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Windsor5/826.1%0.541/185.6%0.64

Too few runners to read reliably

Over 9-10f trips (small sample)4/3112.9%0.880/40.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 86 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

Oisin Murphy · last 14 days: 15/68 · at Windsor: A/E 1.05 (n210) · with this yard: A/E 1.08 (n103)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields9th of 11

-0.14 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 11

+0.11s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 11

104.0%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length11th of 11

6.96 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

23 Jun 26Ffos Las10fGood2ndTrue39.5 +0.30105.9+0.10

1 Jun 26Windsor10fGd/Frm3rdTrue39.6 -0.01108.5+0.19

4 May 26Windsor10fGd/Frm3rdTrue39.0 -0.57108.9-0.11

2 Oct 25Salisbury9fGd/Sft4thTrue37.2 +0.02104.7+0.23

12 Sep 25Sandown Park9fHeavy9thTrue35.2 -0.2391.5+0.26

25 Aug 25Epsom Downs12fGd/Frm5thTrue36.6 -0.35104.2+0.00

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.12par2f+0.12slow3f+0.14slow4f+0.15par5f+0.15par6f+0.13par7fledpar1mledfast1m 1fledpar1m 2f+0.09slow

Timed runs 2025-08-25 to 2026-06-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

GREY FOX (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 3.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

1 Jun 26 · 10f · Gd/Frm — finished 3rd vs 6th, 3.35L ahead

SALIKO · 1 meeting≈ 3.9L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

1 Jun 26 · 10f · Gd/Frm — finished 3rd vs 4th, 0.1L ahead

Read through a common rival

vs GUINNESS LAD (IRE) (read through LADY OF THE ISLES, HAVANA TOBOUGGALOO, MYSTICAL MARIA, REVICH) ≈ +5.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through GONE ROGUE, HELLO COTAI, ALAZWAR) ≈ -4.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through BEACH POINT, PARAGON) ≈ -1.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs THISCOULDBEFUN (IRE) (read through BIZOU, LADY OF THE ISLES) ≈ -1.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

13lb below his last winning mark (63 today vs 76)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (69.0)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 11 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“chased leader, ridden over 2f out, edged left, not quicken approaching final 1f”

#2 SUPER HIT (FR) MID

DRAW 1 · OR 64 · Rossa Ryan / James Owen

MARKET 4.6 · the market rates it a 21% chance

Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

2nd on the figures, 2pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; a genuine turn of foot — 5th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

67.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 73

Official mark (OR)

64 · last won off 62

Record at today's distance

1 win from 5 tries · below market expectation (0.73)

Days since last run

13

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.51% (strong late)

Headgear

Hood and tongue strap · yard 16% with first-time gear (A/E 1.22)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 6 · 9.9f · rated 671stClass 5 · 10.1f · rated 704thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 507thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 676thClass 6 · 8.2f · rated 66

Career sheet · last 18 months · 26 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

James Owen · 1539 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: at 4-8 odds, without a recent yard winner, on Good to Firm ground

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Coming back after 8 to 14 days ✦38/25714.8%1.0723/11819.5%1.16

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Over 9-10f trips ✦16/14511.0%0.777/6211.3%0.72

Too few runners to read reliably

At Windsor (small sample)4/2516.0%1.171/1010.0%0.62

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 74 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

Rossa Ryan · last 14 days: 14/65 · at Windsor: A/E 1.16 (n194) · with this yard: A/E 0.55 (n18)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 11

+0.18 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 11

+0.00s

Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 6

Finish · closing speed5th of 11

103.5%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length2nd of 11

7.33 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

7 Jul 26Brighton9fGd/Frm3rdSlow early41.0 +0.10109.2-0.33

1 Jul 26Epsom Downs10fGood1st—39.8 +1.08108.8+0.11—

19 Jun 26Redcar7fGood4thTrue40.3 +0.0596.5+0.11

22 May 26Bath8fGd/Frm7thTrue39.8 +0.04101.2+0.00

9 May 26Leicester8fGd/Frm6thTrue38.1 -0.23100.4+0.00

30 Apr 26Lingfield8fStd2ndTrue39.6 +0.02104.9+0.12

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.46very slow2f+0.53slow3f+0.54slow4f+0.55slow5f+0.42slow6f+0.41par7f+0.20par1m+0.11fast1m 1f+0.08very fast1m 2f+0.22very fast

Timed runs 2026-04-30 to 2026-07-07. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

DANEHILL STAR (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 0.5L ahead on today's terms · confirms

22 May 26 · 8f · Gd/Frm — finished 7th vs 4th, 0.65L behind

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — confirms vs 1 rival(s) met (+0.5L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) (read through RATING, EUTROPIA, SPIRIT LEAD ME, STRAIGHT A) ≈ +5.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs MY O MY (FR) (read through CIOTOG, LATIN) ≈ -5.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through GONE ROGUE, HELLO COTAI, AMATHUS, LIBERTY BIRD) ≈ -2.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through BOWNDER, OASIS SUNRISE) ≈ +1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (67.0)Only 5 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runsHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“in touch, ridden over 2f out, not quicken”

#3 DANEHILL STAR (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 11 · OR 61 · Billy Loughnane / Tony Carroll

MARKET 13.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

66.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 3pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — and finds plenty late, sharp from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

66.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 67

Official mark (OR)

61 · last won off 57

Record at today's distance

5 wins from 19 tries · beats market expectation (2.12)

Days since last run

16

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 1.5s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races front-runner · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 104.68% (strong late)

Headgear

Cheekpieces · yard 9% with first-time gear (A/E 0.96)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 663rdClass 5 · 9.9f · rated 663rdClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 654thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 631stClass 6 · 9.5f · rated 64

Career sheet · last 18 months · 24 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Tony Carroll · 2385 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.4 on the exchange

Signature angle: at Bath, above their last winning mark, at this time of year (Q2), on turf, off a TFR-FALLING figure trend, with the mark MARK-FLAT, with a CLAIM-7 claimer up

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Windsor11/8413.1%1.5410/3528.6%2.24

On turf ✦97/70713.7%1.247/22920.5%1.43

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 69 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

Billy Loughnane · last 14 days: 15/63 · at Windsor: A/E 1.03 (n98) · with this yard: A/E 1.19 (n30)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 11

+0.44 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 11

-0.03s

Quicker away than the field · fast away 4 of 6

Finish · closing speed2nd of 11

104.7%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length9th of 11

7.05 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Nottingham10fGd/Frm2nd—39.4 -0.01110.4+0.04—

21 Jun 26Brighton9fGd/Frm3rdTrue41.8 +0.71102.6+0.00

13 Jun 26Bath8fGood3rdTrue38.9 +0.7597.4-0.07

22 May 26Bath8fGd/Frm4thTrue40.5 +0.73100.2-0.01

31 Mar 26Wolverhampton9fStd1stTrue39.0 +0.45108.4-0.21

28 Mar 26Southwell8fStd2ndSlow early39.7 -0.01109.1+0.07

Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

SUPER HIT (FR) · 1 meeting≈ 0.5L behind on today's terms · reverses

22 May 26 · 8f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 7th, 0.65L ahead

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — reverses vs 1 rival(s) met (-0.5L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) (read through RATING, EUTROPIA) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through OASIS SUNRISE, ORCHESTRAL WAVE, THE PUG, NAUGHTY NIALL) ≈ +5.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through MAN IS KING, DIDAAR, INTO COMBAT, AMATHUS) ≈ +3.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SALIKO (read through GRETNA DREAMS, FINALLY ESCAPED, MAJOR MAJOR) ≈ +2.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

4lb above his last winning mark (61 today vs 57)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (66.0)Proven over the trip (19 tries, beats market expectation at 2.12)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 19 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“mid-field, headway 3f out, short of room briefly 2f out, chased leader final 1f, one paced”

#4 GREY FOX (IRE) HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 5 · OR 65 · David Probert / Emma Lavelle

MARKET 18 · the market rates it a 5% chance

Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−

65.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 4pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

65.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 79

Official mark (OR)

65 · last won off 68

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 7 tries

Days since last run

27

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 102.72% (holds late)

Headgear

Tongue strap

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 5 · 11.0f · rated 656thClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 659thClass 5 · 14.2f · rated 304thClass 5 · 14.2f · rated 735thClass 5 · 16.0f · rated 68

Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Emma Lavelle · 128 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of 8-118/5714.0%1.382/1315.4%1.41

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Coming back after 15 to 45 days12/5920.3%1.621/147.1%0.45

Too few runners to read reliably

In Class 6-7 company (small sample)2/1711.8%0.870/10.0%0.0

At Windsor (small sample)0/100.0%0.00/20.0%0.0

Over 9-10f trips (small sample)1/137.7%0.930/20.0%0.0

Below their last winning mark (small sample)1/333.3%2.870/20.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)6/3815.8%1.330/20.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

David Probert · last 14 days: 7/46 · at Windsor: A/E 0.88 (n87) · with this yard: A/E 1.34 (n24)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 11

+0.41 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.8 raw

Break · 0-20mph11th of 11

+0.58s

Slow away in 6 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed6th of 11

102.7%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length3rd of 11

7.30 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

23 Jun 26Newbury11fGd/Frm6th—39.1 +0.1299.7+0.71

1 Jun 26Windsor10fGd/Frm6thTrue39.8 +0.14108.0+0.56

23 Jul 25Salisbury14fGood9thSlow early39.8 +0.4587.9+0.47

24 May 25Salisbury14fGd/Frm4thTrue38.5 +0.10104.8+0.58

21 Apr 25Kempton Park15fStd5thTrue38.3 +0.36105.3+0.56

26 Mar 25Kempton Park15fStd1stTrue39.1 +1.31110.6+0.62

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+1.25 2f+1.17 3f+0.98 4f+1.04 5f+1.03 6f+1.02 7f+1.00 1m+0.86 1m 1f+0.78 1m 2f+0.88 1m 3f+1.49

Timed runs 2025-03-26 to 2026-06-23. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

FAST STEPS (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 3.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

1 Jun 26 · 10f · Gd/Frm — finished 6th vs 3rd, 3.35L behind

SALIKO · 1 meeting≈ 5.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

1 Jun 26 · 10f · Gd/Frm — finished 6th vs 4th, 3.25L behind

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

3lb below his last winning mark (65 today vs 68)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayImproving fast — last run rated 65, 11pts above his recent average of 53.3Lost roughly 3.2 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“dwelt, off pace, pushed along over 2f out, never on terms”

#5 PAY ATTENTION HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 10 · OR 59 · Sean Levey / Faye Bramley

MARKET 19.5 · the market rates it a 5% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−

63.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 5.3pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; tends to burn early and empty out.

FormLab Figure

63.7 · ranked #5 here · career best 68

Official mark (OR)

59 · last won off 61

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 5 tries

Days since last run

18

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.4s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 97.86% (one-paced late)

Headgear

Tongue strap

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 626thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 622ndClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 679thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 278thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 56

Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Faye Bramley · 85 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)4/2615.4%1.051/425.0%5.07

In Class 6-7 company3/2015.0%1.113/933.3%1.42

Over 9-10f trips2/1414.3%0.862/922.2%1.37

On turf7/4017.5%1.264/2416.7%1.33

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Below their last winning mark1/714.3%0.910/90.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days4/2814.3%1.181/119.1%0.84

Too few runners to read reliably

At Windsor (small sample)0/10.0%0.00/20.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 68 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

The rider

Sean Levey · last 14 days: 4/33 · at Windsor: A/E 0.76 (n119) · with this yard: A/E 1.06 (n10)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 11

+0.06 mph

About the level of its fields · 37.8 raw

Break · 0-20mph9th of 11

+0.46s

Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed11th of 11

97.9%

One-paced late

Stride length6th of 11

7.18 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

2 Jul 26Nottingham10fGd/Frm5thTrue38.3 +0.20105.1+0.53

20 Jun 26Newmarket8fGd/Frm6thTrue39.8 +0.00103.3+1.32

15 May 26Newbury8fGood2ndFast early39.4 +0.1396.1+0.57

4 May 26Bath8fGood9thFast early40.4 +0.3390.8+0.18

16 Aug 25Doncaster10fFirm3rdTrue38.0 -0.0397.1+0.12

19 Jul 25Newmarket10fGd/Sft8thFast early37.2 -0.2594.8+0.05

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.74slow2f+0.73slow3f+0.76slow4f+0.78par5f+0.88fast6f+0.72par7f+0.69slow1m+0.47par1m 1f+0.30par1m 2f+0.83par

Timed runs 2025-07-19 to 2026-07-02. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

SALIKO · 1 meeting≈ 3.4L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

3 Jul 25 · 10.1f · Good — finished 2nd vs 6th, 4.5L ahead

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+3.4L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) (read through SPIRIT LEAD ME, DARK ROSA, SATURNALIA) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs MY O MY (FR) (read through CIOTOG, MAN IS KING) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through HERKEIOS, HARRYELLA) ≈ -5.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs THISCOULDBEFUN (IRE) (read through SPIRIT LEAD ME, DARK ROSA, SHE'S A GOLDIGGER, MIAKODA) ≈ +5.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

2lb below his last winning mark (59 today vs 61)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayOnly 5 runs at this distanceLost roughly 2.4 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“missed break, mid-division, shuffled back under 3f out, effort on inner 2f out, plugged on”

#6 SANSANETTI (IRE) MID

DRAW 3 · OR 59 · Pat Cosgrave / Stuart Williams

MARKET 18.5 · the market rates it a 5% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−

63.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 6pts off the top, proven at the trip; a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

63.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 64

Official mark (OR)

59 · last won off 57

Record at today's distance

4 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (2.57)

Days since last run

23

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s)
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.52% (strong late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 636thClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 606thClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 511stClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 641stClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 64

Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Stuart Williams · 963 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Signature angle: kept to the same class, off marks in the 61 to 75 range, switching jockey after a defeat, with their 3yos, off a judgement-rated last figure

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)44/28215.6%1.384/2814.3%1.3

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 6-7 company30/14920.1%1.132/229.1%0.6

In fields of 8-1159/39315.0%1.249/1187.6%0.8

Too few runners to read reliably

Over 9-10f trips (small sample)10/4820.8%1.540/90.0%0.0

At Windsor (small sample)10/5518.2%2.421/119.1%1.14

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 66 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

The rider

Pat Cosgrave · last 14 days: 1/19 · at Windsor: A/E 0.61 (n58) · with this yard: A/E 1.79 (n29)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 11

+0.16 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph8th of 11

+0.22s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 11

103.5%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length7th of 11

7.15 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

27 Jun 26Lingfield10fGd/Frm4thTrue38.1 -0.29104.8+0.00

13 Jun 26Leicester10fGood6thTrue38.5 +0.30102.6+0.64

15 May 26Newmarket10fGood6thTrue39.5 +0.01101.2+0.29

2 Oct 25Chelmsford City10fSlow1stTrue41.0 -0.09102.7+0.19

4 Sep 25Lingfield10fStd1stTrue40.5 +0.76107.0+0.22

14 Aug 25Chelmsford City10fSlow2ndTrue38.4 +0.25102.7-0.02

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.02par2f+0.02fast3fledpar4fledfast5f+0.06par6f+0.13fast7f+0.06par1m+0.13slow1m 1f+0.07very slow1m 2f+0.31very slow

Timed runs 2025-08-14 to 2026-06-27. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

Read through a common rival

vs NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) (read through BLUE WONDER, LESRICO) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through HERKEIOS, HARRYELLA) ≈ +5.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DANEHILL STAR (IRE) (read through OASIS SUNRISE, ORCHESTRAL WAVE, THE PUG, NAUGHTY NIALL) ≈ -5.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs FAST STEPS (IRE) (read through BEACH POINT, PARAGON) ≈ +1.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 2.57)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“mid-division, ridden 2f out, one paced”

#7 GUINNESS LAD (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 6 · OR 52 · Ashley Lewis / Neil Mulholland

MARKET 4.8 · the market rates it a 20% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 1−

59 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

7th on the figures, 10pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; the clock has it fading late.

FormLab Figure

59 · ranked #7 here · career best 63

Official mark (OR)

52 · last won off 49

Record at today's distance

1 win from 9 tries · in line with the market (1.0)

Days since last run

42

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s)
Usually races front-runner

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 112.64% (strong late)

Headgear

Hood

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 6 · 11.4f · rated 581stClass 6 · 11.4f · rated 602ndClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 595thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 506thClass 6 · 12.0f · rated 49

Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Neil Mulholland · 113 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Above their last winning mark1/166.2%0.362/540.0%2.32

Over 9-10f trips2/326.2%0.881/714.3%2.27

Coming back after 15 to 45 days1/303.3%0.382/1118.2%2.19

On turf4/458.9%1.553/1717.6%1.51

In fields of 8-114/527.7%0.951/1010.0%1.2

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 6-7 company5/559.1%0.971/128.3%0.69

Too few runners to read reliably

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)1/175.9%1.191/333.3%1.42

At Windsor (small sample)0/70.0%0.01/333.3%1.32

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 63 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

The rider

Ashley Lewis · last 14 days: 7/27 · at Windsor: A/E 0.62 (n16) · with this yard: A/E 1.82 (n1)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 11

+0.23 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph10th of 11

+0.50s

Slow away in 6 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed1st of 11

112.6%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length8th of 11

7.06 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

8 Jun 26Windsor11fGd/Sft3rdTrue37.1 +0.00104.6+0.42

1 Jun 26Windsor11fGd/Frm1stTrue41.8 +1.66114.0+0.46

23 May 26Windsor10fGd/Frm2nd—39.5 +0.09106.2+0.56

28 Jan 26Kempton Park8fStd5thTrue38.6 -0.71101.4+0.46

14 Jan 26Kempton Park11fSlow6thTrue37.6 +0.51100.0+0.61

27 Dec 25Wolverhampton12fSlow7thTrue36.7 -0.16149.7+0.46

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.99par2f+1.22fast3f+1.35par4f+1.53fast5f+2.02very slow6f+1.80slow7f+1.34fast1m+0.43fast1m 1fledpar1m 2f+0.18par1m 3f+0.67slow

Timed runs 2025-12-27 to 2026-06-08. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

MY O MY (FR) · 1 meeting≈ 38.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

14 Jan 26 · 12f · Slow — finished 6th vs 11th, 42L ahead

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+38.6L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs FAST STEPS (IRE) (read through LADY OF THE ISLES, HAVANA TOBOUGGALOO, MYSTICAL MARIA, REVICH) ≈ -5.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DANEHILL STAR (IRE) (read through GALACTIC GLOW, NAUGHTY NIALL, LITTLE TIGER, MONKS MEAD) ≈ +1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through NAUGHTY NIALL, OFFIAH'S BOY, THE PUG, HARLINGTON) ≈ +1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through LIBERTY BIRD, GLITTER CODE) ≈ +1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

3lb above his last winning mark (52 today vs 49)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayLost roughly 1.9 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultNEARLY WON LTO — traded 2.0 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 4 here)

LTO comment

“waited with, headway over 3f out, challenged 2f out, no extra final 1f”

#8 THISCOULDBEFUN (IRE) MID

DRAW 8 · OR 63 · Taylor Fisher / J. S. Moore

MARKET 34 · the market rates it a 3% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−

51.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

8th on the figures, 17.3pts off the top, dropping in class; its figure was earned on a different surface.

FormLab Figure

51.7 · ranked #8 here · career best 75

Official mark (OR)

63 · last won off 64

Record at today's distance

untried at this distance

Days since last run

36

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.87% (one-paced late)

Headgear

Cheekpieces

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

10thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 336thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 624thClass 5 · 8.1f · rated 606thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 701stClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 75

Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

J. S. Moore · 519 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)10/1546.5%0.820/160.0%0.0

In fields of 8-1117/2008.5%1.130/590.0%0.0

In Class 6-7 company12/1996.0%0.631/352.9%0.34

On turf14/2186.4%0.862/702.9%0.44

Coming back after 15 to 45 days16/15710.2%1.212/464.3%0.58

Too few runners to read reliably

At Windsor (small sample)2/248.3%1.220/50.0%0.0

Below their last winning mark (small sample)2/1910.5%1.640/70.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

Taylor Fisher · last 14 days: 4/23 · at Windsor: A/E 0.56 (n35) · with this yard: A/E 0.8 (n122)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields7th of 11

-0.07 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 11

+0.06s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed9th of 11

98.9%

One-paced late

Stride length4th of 11

7.21 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

1 Jul 26Bath8fFirm (Good To Firm In Places)3rdTrue39.0 +0.72100.9-0.08

14 Jun 26Salisbury8fGood10thFast early37.8 -0.4598.5+0.15

4 Jun 26Ffos Las8fGd/Sft6thFast early38.0 +0.34101.1+0.23

19 Dec 25Southwell8fStd4thTrue37.9 -0.42101.5+0.00

27 Oct 25Lingfield8fStd1stTrue40.3 +0.17101.7+0.00

7 Oct 25Leicester7fGood13thTrue41.9 -0.7889.5+0.08

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.19very slow2f+0.24very slow3f+0.44par4f+0.44very fast5f+0.55par6f+0.23par7f+0.50par1m+0.69par

Timed runs 2025-10-07 to 2026-07-01. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 9.3L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

14 Jun 26 · 8f · Good — finished 10th vs 12th, 8.75L ahead

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+9.3L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs SALIKO (read through PHAEDRA, EAGLE DAY) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through SPIRIT LEAD ME, DARK ROSA, SHE'S A GOLDIGGER, MIAKODA) ≈ -5.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DANEHILL STAR (IRE) (read through RATING, EUTROPIA, ROSEMARY'S ROSE, BIZOU) ≈ -1.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs FAST STEPS (IRE) (read through BIZOU, LADY OF THE ISLES) ≈ +1.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Figure OFF-CONTEXT (8f→10f) — earned under different conditionsProven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“chased leaders after 1f, shuffled back over 3f out, pushed along over 2f out, beaten approaching final 1f”

#9 SALIKO MID

DRAW 4 · OR 62 · Saffie Osborne / Jack Jones

MARKET 27 · the market rates it a 4% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−

51.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

9th on the figures, 18pts off the top, proven at the trip; solid late gains (7th of 11 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

51.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 77

Official mark (OR)

62 · last won off 70

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 8 tries · beats market expectation (3.24)

Days since last run

16

Sectional clock

Last time: 2.7s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 101.36% (holds late)

Headgear

First-time cheekpieces

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 5 · 10.2f · rated 5111thClass 5 · 9.5f · rated 244thClass 5 · 10.0f · rated 729thClass 5 · 8.3f · rated 657thClass 5 · 10.2f · rated 63

Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Jack Jones · 576 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange

Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, as an exposed handicapper

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Over 9-10f trips5/4211.9%1.180/230.0%0.0

On turf17/2038.4%0.80/620.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦20/2338.6%0.764/616.6%0.58

At this time of year (Q3)10/1506.7%0.681/166.2%0.58

Too few runners to read reliably

At Windsor (small sample)2/1020.0%2.160/40.0%0.0

Below their last winning mark (small sample)—0/30.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

Saffie Osborne · last 14 days: 4/35 · at Windsor: A/E 1.05 (n135) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n1)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields10th of 11

-0.16 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 11

+0.21s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed7th of 11

101.4%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length5th of 11

7.19 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Nottingham10fGd/Frm6th—39.1 +0.0898.5+0.00—

16 Jun 26Wolverhampton9fStd11thTrue38.9 -0.0199.4+0.44

1 Jun 26Windsor10fGd/Frm4thTrue39.5 -0.21108.3+0.00

19 May 26Nottingham8fGd/Sft9thTrue37.1 -0.4498.5+0.49

24 Apr 26Doncaster10fGd/Frm7thTrue39.0 -0.22103.6+0.00

21 Oct 25Yarmouth10fGood12thTrue38.5 -0.1799.8+0.31

Timed runs 2025-10-21 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

GREY FOX (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 5.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

1 Jun 26 · 10f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 6th, 3.25L ahead

FAST STEPS (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.9L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

1 Jun 26 · 10f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 3rd, 0.1L behind

PAY ATTENTION · 1 meeting≈ 3.4L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

3 Jul 25 · 10.1f · Good — finished 6th vs 2nd, 4.5L behind

THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 3 rival(s) met (+2.9L adj, 3 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs THISCOULDBEFUN (IRE) (read through PHAEDRA, EAGLE DAY) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs MY O MY (FR) (read through DOGGED, FASTER BEE) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DANEHILL STAR (IRE) (read through GRETNA DREAMS, FINALLY ESCAPED, MAJOR MAJOR) ≈ -2.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through MADE U BLUSH, JACK ANDREA, BEACHBOROUGH GIRL) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

8lb below his last winning mark (62 today vs 70)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 3.24)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“dwelt, soon behind, ridden when hung badly right over 2f out, eased approaching final 1f”

#10 MY O MY (FR) MID

DRAW 9 · OR 46 · Olivia Tubb / Shaun Lycett

MARKET 60 · the market rates it a 2% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−

47.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

10th on the figures, 22pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; held up without the late gear (10th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.

FormLab Figure

47.0 · ranked #10 here · career best 47

Official mark (OR)

46 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

37

Sectional clock

Last time: 5.6s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.47% (one-paced late)

Headgear

First-time blinkers and tongue strap

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

12thClass 6 · 11.6f · rated —3rdClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 475thClass 6 · 11.6f · rated 466thClass 6 · 12.0f · rated 434thClass 6 · 12.2f · rated 42

Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Shaun Lycett · 102 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Over 9-10f trips0/100.0%0.01/425.0%2.68

On turf3/2114.3%1.682/1118.2%1.71

In fields of 8-113/358.6%0.861/119.1%1.42

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 6-7 company4/3112.9%1.580/150.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days2/296.9%0.530/120.0%0.0

Too few runners to read reliably

At Windsor (small sample)0/30.0%0.0—

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/170.0%0.00/10.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 47 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

The rider

Olivia Tubb · last 14 days: 1/7 · at Windsor: A/E 2.22 (n12)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields8th of 11

-0.08 mph

About the level of its fields · 37.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph7th of 11

+0.21s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed10th of 11

98.5%

One-paced late

Stride length10th of 11

7.05 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

13 Jun 26Bath11fGood12thTrue38.0 +0.2090.0+0.19

13 May 26Bath10fFirm3rdTrue37.5 -0.39100.5+0.18

27 Apr 26Bath11fGd/Frm5thTrue38.0 +0.16103.0+0.04

10 Mar 26Wolverhampton12fStd4thTrue37.2 +0.00107.1+0.00

14 Jan 26Kempton Park11fSlow11thTrue37.2 +0.0490.4+0.55

22 Oct 25Kempton Park7fStd10thTrue38.3 -0.4999.9+0.30

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.04par2f+0.07par3f+0.16par4f+0.37par5f+0.51par6f+0.58par7f+0.75slow1m+0.50fast1m 1f+0.43fast1m 2f+0.68slow1m 3f+2.04very slow1m 4f+6.28very slow

Timed runs 2025-10-22 to 2026-06-13. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

GUINNESS LAD (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 38.6L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

14 Jan 26 · 12f · Slow — finished 11th vs 6th, 42L behind

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-38.6L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs SALIKO (read through DOGGED, FASTER BEE) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through CIOTOG, MAN IS KING) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SUPER HIT (FR) (read through CIOTOG, LATIN) ≈ +5.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DANEHILL STAR (IRE) (read through MAN IS KING, GALACTIC GLOW, MARINAKIS, KNIGHTMARE) ≈ -2.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Only 2 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (2.22x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“in touch, ridden, dropped away over 2f out”

#11 NORFLONDONFOREVER (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 7 · OR 65 · Edward Greatrex / Faye Bramley

MARKET 50 · the market rates it a 2% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−

33 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

11th on the figures, 36pts off the top, dropping in class; just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — and holds on late.

FormLab Figure

33 · ranked #11 here · career best 76

Official mark (OR)

65 · last won off 67

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

36

Sectional clock

Last time: 4.3s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 101.03% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

12thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 138thClass 5 · 10.2f · rated 101stClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 764thClass 5 · 8.2f · rated 656thClass 5 · 8.1f · rated 60

Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Faye Bramley · 85 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)4/2615.4%1.051/425.0%5.07

In Class 6-7 company3/2015.0%1.113/933.3%1.42

Over 9-10f trips2/1414.3%0.862/922.2%1.37

On turf7/4017.5%1.264/2416.7%1.33

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Below their last winning mark1/714.3%0.910/90.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days4/2814.3%1.181/119.1%0.84

Too few runners to read reliably

At Windsor (small sample)0/10.0%0.00/20.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

The rider

Edward Greatrex · last 14 days: 0/16 · at Windsor: A/E 1.33 (n44) · with this yard: A/E 1.69 (n15)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields11th of 11

-0.27 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 36.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 11

+0.10s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed8th of 11

101.0%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length1st of 11

7.37 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jun 26Salisbury8fGood12thFast early37.7 -0.5798.5+0.19

22 May 26Haydock Park10fGd/Sft8thTrue36.0 -0.8193.3+0.17

15 Apr 25Kempton Park8fStd1stTrue38.7 -0.01103.4+0.00

4 Apr 25Leicester8fGood4thTrue38.6 +0.0299.4+0.00

21 Mar 25Southwell8fStd6thTrue—100.3—

11 Jan 25Wolverhampton8fStd3rdSlow early39.0 +0.02111.2+0.15

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1fledfast2fledfast3f+0.12fast4f+0.17fast5f+0.54par6f+0.94very slow7f+2.18very slow1m+4.91very slow

Timed runs 2025-01-11 to 2026-06-14. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

THISCOULDBEFUN (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 9.3L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

14 Jun 26 · 8f · Good — finished 12th vs 10th, 8.75L behind

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-9.3L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs DANEHILL STAR (IRE) (read through RATING, EUTROPIA) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SANSANETTI (IRE) (read through BLUE WONDER, LESRICO) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs PAY ATTENTION (read through SPIRIT LEAD ME, DARK ROSA, SATURNALIA) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SUPER HIT (FR) (read through RATING, EUTROPIA, SPIRIT LEAD ME, STRAIGHT A) ≈ -5.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

2lb below his last winning mark (65 today vs 67)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.33x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“disputed lead after 1f, pushed along around halfway, dropped away soon after”